Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at MRC Store Championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-2-2
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1527
· median 1527
· range 1527–1527
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1235
Q3 1445
1607
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.1% | -2.9 |
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.0% | +13.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
